Politics

Iowa Poll: Trump Holds Strong Lead Over GOP Field

| by Ethan Brown

In a dramatic change from three months ago, Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump is now the first choice among Republican caucus-goers to win the Republican presidential nomination, receiving 23 percent of the vote in a Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa Poll.

In May, Trump received 4 percent support in the Des Moines Register poll and his net unfavorability rating was at 36. Since the launch of his campaign on June 16 and the numerous controversial comments he has made that have been covered widely by news outlets, he now has a net favorability rating of 26, NBC News noted.

Appearing on CBS’ “Face the Nation” on Aug. 30, Democratic pollster Ann Selzer explained the Trump phenomenon.

“A few months ago, he had the highest unfavorable (rating) of anybody,” she said. “And people said, ‘Well, he can’t possibly do any better in the horse race because his unfavorable (ratings) are so high. Can you ever really turn those around?'

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“I said, ‘You know, we’ve seen everything happen. And we’ve certainly seen it happen this time,'” Selzer added.

Dr. Ben Carson has also seen an uptick in his numbers throughout the swing state. He is currently in second, with 18 percent of the vote. His favorability numbers have jumped 30 points since May, to a 71 favorability rating.

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker are tied for third with 8 percent each. The poll numbers are dismal for Walker as he received 17 percent of the vote in May. Moreover, his home state of Wisconsin borders Iowa to the north, largely giving him home-field advantage over other candidates.

Once considered a candidate without a chance of winning, former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina has jumped to 5 percent support in the polls. Since her successful debate performance on Aug. 6, Fiorina’s name recognition and support among Republican voters has increased greatly.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton continues to remain ahead of all her challengers, but her numbers have declined 20 percent from three months ago, to 37 percent. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, considered the anti-establishment candidate on the Democrat side, is in second with 30 percent. Although he has yet to announce a candidacy, Vice President Joe Biden finished in third, with 14 percent of the vote.

You can view all of the polling results here.

Sources: NBC News, The Hill, Des Moines Register

Photo credit: Wikimedia Commons/Michael Vadon, Gage Skidmore/Creative Commons