Politics

Impeachment Odds Increase, GOP Turning Away From Trump

| by Lauren Briggs

Amid speculation that President Donald Trump is losing support from his fellow Republican legislators, odds are up that he will be impeached and convicted before completing his first term -- at least in the gambling world.

Irish gambling company Paddy Power says it is more likely than not that Trump will be removed from office before the end of his first term, and they say the odds of that happening have shot up from 52 percent to 60 percent following the president's firing of FBI Director James Comey, reports Politico.

"Paddy Power customers have been lumping on Trump to come undone, with thousands staked on him not completing his first term in office and to be impeached," Paddy Power spokesman Lewis Davey told Politico.

U.S.-based PredictIt also lowered its odds that Trump will see his term through from 87 percent to 83 percent after Comey was ousted.

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Meanwhile, international gambling site Bovada has set the odds more optimistically for Trump, with bettors who successfully predict Trump remaining in office for a full term losing money but gaining a handsome sum if they correctly guess his departure.

But is Trump likely to face impeachment proceedings?

A number of pundits and media outlets are speculating that it is possible, though GOP legislators would first need to distance themselves from Trump in order for there to be any chance of the president's own party leveling charges against him.

"The question is no longer whether there are grounds to impeach Donald Trump," Robert Reich, a Democrat who served as secretary of labor for former President Bill Clinton, wrote in an op-ed on for Reich's personal website. "It is when enough Republicans will put their loyalty to America ahead of their loyalty to their party."

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Indeed, there are some indications that Republican senators are starting to shift away from the president, with one New York Times article reporting that many of them are becoming more and more unhappy with Trump, particularly over his decision to fire former FBI Director James Comey.

"All the work that goes into getting big things done is hard enough even in the most tranquil of environments in Washington," said Republican Kevin Madden, who worked for former House Speaker John Boehner, according to The Times. "But distractions like these can become a serious obstacle to aligning the interests of Congress."

At present, 48 percent of Americans want Trump to be impeached, while 41 percent oppose such measures, found a survey conducted by Public Policy Polling.

Sources: Politico, Robert Reich, The New York Times, Public Policy Polling / Photo credit: Gage Skidmore/Flickr

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