Politics

Latest Gallup Poll Shows Low Approval Rating For Trump

| by Alex Scarr

Only 36 percent of voters approve of President Donald Trump, as Trump finds himself in a prolonged downward trend in approval rating since taking office.

The Gallup poll conducted June 3, found 36 percent of voters said they approved of Trump's performance, down from 42 percent on May 28, reports CNN. A Quinnipiac poll in late May put Trump's approval at 37 percent.

Inquisitr saw a high for Trump at 45 percent on March 11 with a determined slide in each poll since. Trump briefly rebounded from a low of 35 percent March 28, but the most recent poll is only 1 percentage point higher than his lowest mark.

Former presidents have not been in quite dire straits this early in office, although President Bill Clinton polled at 37 percent approval in June 1993 after a string of White House firings, according to CNN. In June 2009, President Barack Obama sat at 61 percent, and President George W. Bush was at 55 percent at this time in 2001.

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Trump's low approval could have a sharply negative effect on congressional Republicans running for office. Gallup found that since 1946, presidents whose approval rating is above 50 percent still lose an average of 14 party seats in the midterm elections. When the approval rating dips below 50 percent, the average party seat loss is 36.

NPR looked at data from Real Clear Politics and FiveThirtyEight, two data analytics websites, and determined that while Trump is in the middle of a clear slide, his approval rating since taking office has been remarkably stable compared to past presidents.

President Gerald Ford slipped 34 percentage points in his first four months, the large outlier in the fairly stable chart. Clinton fell 21 points, and President Jimmy Carter dropped 3.

Both Trump and Obama fell an even 5 percentage points in their first four months, although Obama started around 65 percent and Trump opened around 41.

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The biggest climb was for George H.W. Bush, who gained 19 points in his first four months, and President Dwight D. Eisenhower saw a 6 point jump. President Ronald Reagan also rose early in his tenure.

NPR notes that for Trump to fall lower in approval rating, it would require a significant shift in partisan polling. Few Democrats were partial to Trump since the beginning, but Republicans have remained largely loyal. If Trump's approval rating slips lower than it is now, that would signal a distancing of the Republican base from their president.

"It's more tribal than anything else," said Patrick Murray, founding director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. "The two-party system has moved from this idea that these were two admirable foes who just have different approaches to governance to seeing the other party as an existential threat."

Sources: CNN, Inquisitr, NPR / Photo credit: Michael Vadon/Flickr

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