Politics

Clinton Campaign Feeling Confident About Nevada, Ohio

| by Robert Fowler

Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign issued a memo on election day signaling a high degree of confidence in Nevada and even a hopefulness for capturing Ohio.

The campaign forwarded a message to surrogates and financial council members to spread the word that the “Clinton campaign is in a very strong position,” Politico reports.

“Early voting in strong Democratic counties continued to pick up the closer we got to Election Day,” the memo said, pointing to large turnout among Democratic-leaning early voters as evidence of “a nearly insurmountable lead” against GOP nominee Donald Trump. 

Ohio is a battleground state that has largely polled in favor of Trump. 

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The Clinton camp added that several Democratic counties “had already surpassed their 2012 turnout.”

The memo also addressed Florida, a battleground state that has been highly competitive leading up to election day. The Clinton camp said that they were very encouraged by “a surge in voting among key demographics — more millennials, African-Americans and Hispanics have voted early compared to 2012.”

FiveThirtyEight, the polling website spearheaded by statistician Nate Silver, designated Ohio as the seventh most pivotal battleground state with a 5.2 percent chance of tipping the election. They designate Nevada as the 10th most important state, with a 3.7 percent chance of playing a decisive role in the election.

Currently, FiveThirtyEight projects Clinton to win Nevada while Trump takes Ohio.

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Florida is designated as the single most important battleground state, with a 17.6 percent chance of tipping the election.

Aggregating the last four state polls released since Nov. 1, RealClearPolitics found that Trump currently leads a four-way race in Ohio by an average of 3.5 percentage points. It would be a surprising upset if Clinton ultimately won the Buckeye State.

Aggregating the last seven state polls released since Nov. 1, RCP also found that Trump leads a four-way race in Florida by an average of 0.2 percentage points, indicating a complete tossup.

Sources: FiveThirtyEightPolitico, Real Clear Politics (2) / Photo Credit: Gage Skidmore/Flickr

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