Poll: Clinton's Lead Continues To Grow Post-Debate

| by Robert Fowler
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary ClintonDemocratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton

New polling indicates Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is widening her lead over GOP nominee Donald Trump following the first presidential debate.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Oct. 5 found Clinton leads Trump in a head-to-head matchup by 44 to 37 percent among likely voters.

In a four-way race, she maintains her lead with 42 percent, while Trump trails behind with 36 percent support. Meanwhile, Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson garnered 8 percent, and Jill Stein arrived at the back of the pack with 2 percent support.

The survey also found that 50 percent of registered voters view Clinton favorably, while 44 percent also view Trump in a positive light. President Barack Obama has a 51 percent job approval rating, up five percentage points from the previous survey.

The poll indicates that 9 percent of likely voters plan to vote for a third party candidate, 6 percent are undecided and 3 percent plan to stay home on election day.

Clinton’s polling average has been growing in the past week; after aggregating the last eight national polls released between Sept. 28 and Oct. 3, Real Clear Politics determined Clinton leads a four-way race with an average 3.8 percent edge.

The polling bump for Clinton has largely been attributed to the first presidential debate on Sept. 26.

A CNN/ORC survey released on Oct. 3 found that 63 percent of likely voters believe Clinton won that night, while only 24 percent gave the edge to Trump.

Breaking down new polls from crucial swing states, the news gets worse for the Trump campaign.

A poll conducted by Monmouth University, which was released on Oct. 3, found that Clinton leads Trump in Pennsylvania by 50 to 40 percent. The Keystone State is considered a must-win for Trump’s electoral strategy, The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.

“Clinton has been blanketing the Pennsylvania airwaves with ads that highlight Trump’s controversial statements, particularly about women,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth polling group. “They appear to have had an impact.”

There is also North Carolina, arguably the most polarized battleground state in this election cycle. On Oct. 3, a poll conducted by Bloomberg Politics found that Clinton has a narrow lead in the Tar Heel State, edging Trump by 44 to 43 percent in a four-way race.

Nate Silver, the statistician who had successfully predicted the electoral outcome of 49 out of 50 states during the 2012 presidential race, believes the Trump campaign should be worried about Clinton’s strength in North Carolina.

“Namely, because of the state’s demographics, it acts as a potential hedge for Clinton in the event of a collapse in her support among white voters without college degrees, especially in the Midwest,” Silver wrote on his website FiveThirtyEight.

These polling trends indicate that the Trump campaign will have to reverse the momentum of the race if it hopes to win in November.

Sources: Bloomberg PoliticsCNN, FiveThirtyEightIpsos, The Philadelphia EnquirerReal Clear Politics / Photo Credit: Gage Skidmore/Flickr

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