When Mitt Romney lost the 2012 Presidential Election to Barack Obama, he did so with only 27 percent of the Hispanic vote on his side. As the Hispanic population in the United States grows by leaps and bounds, it would make sense for Republicans to be concerned with their outreach to that demographic, right?
Not if you ask Brit Hume.
The Fox News panelist and political analyst called the assertion that House Republicans must prioritize immigration reform to cozy up to Hispanics “baloney” on Monday and insisted that the influence of the demographic is not putting the GOP in danger.
Hume claimed the Hispanic influence in the 2012 election was aided by the low turnout of white voters, which supported Romney over Obama on the whole. That, coupled with the relatively smaller amount of Hispanic voters, contributed to Romney’s downfall, he said.
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“Now, that doesn’t mean that if they turned out that Romney would have gotten them all,” Hume said. “But it shows you that this Hispanic vote, which is I think now 8.5 percent of the electorate or something like that, is not nearly as important as, still, as the white vote, which is above 70 percent.”
Hume added: "So, if you look at it from an ethnic point of view, that addresses the question of whether you need to get right with the Hispanics."
Unfortunately for Hume, the math is not quite on his side. As demographers predict that racial and ethnic minorities will become the majority in the United States by 2043, a state with incredible political importance is already on the brink of a minority majority.
In 2010, California, a nationally Democratic stronghold with a prominent in-state Republican contingent, was made up of 40.1 percent white citizens and 37.6 percent Hispanic citizens, according to that year’s census. By 2020, the state is projected to hold 40.8 percent Hispanic citizens versus 36.6 percent whites.
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While California has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since George H.W. Bush in 1988, a lack of appeal to Hispanic voters will virtually eliminate the chances the 2020 GOP candidate has at winning the state. For that reason alone, Hume may wish to look into his claim a little deeper.