NFL

NFL Game Preview: Falcons vs Saints 9/26/2010

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The New Orleans Saints are a solid favorite with a 68% chance to beat the Atlanta Falcons. Pierre Thomas is projected for 72 rushing yards and a 46% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32% of simulations where Atlanta Falcons wins, Matt Ryan averages 1.64 TD passes vs 0.69 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.28 TDs to 1.4 interceptions.

Michael Turner averages 127 rushing yards and 1.36 rushing TDs when Atlanta Falcons wins and 74 yards and 0.58 TDs in losses. The New Orleans Saints has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NO -3 --- Over/Under line is 50

'2010 SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Atlanta FalconsATS RECORDNew Orleans SaintsATS RECORDATS EDGE

All Games
1-1-0
All Games
1-1-0
No Edge

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Road Games
0-1-0
Home Games
1-0-0
New Orleans Saints

When Underdog
0-0-0
When Favored
1-1-0
No Edge

Division Opp
0-0-0
Division Opp
0-0-0
No Edge

Opp .500+ Record
0-0-0
Opp .500+ Record
0-0-0
No Edge

2009 SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

Atlanta FalconsATS RECORDNew Orleans SaintsATS RECORDATS EDGE

All Games
11-5-0
All Games
10-9-0
Atlanta Falcons

Road Games
5-3-0
Home Games
5-5-0
Atlanta Falcons

When Underdog
5-3-0
When Favored
9-8-0
Atlanta Falcons

Division Opp
4-2-0
Division Opp
1-5-0
Atlanta Falcons

Opp .500+ Record
6-3-0
Opp .500+ Record
5-3-0
Atlanta Falcons

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDNew Orleans SaintsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE

All Totals (O-U-P)
1-1-0
All Totals (O-U-P)
1-1-0
No Edge

On Road
0-1-0
At Home
0-1-0
UNDER

All Totals 2009
7-9-0
All Totals 2009
9-10-0
UNDER

On Road 2009
5-3-0
At Home 2009
5-5-0
OVER

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The Daily Line Report (DLR) provides detailed simulation accuracy trends.

Many leading handicappers relyon Advisor Star Ratings and DLR Trends to maximize accuracy.

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