Week 6 of the NFL is here as are the AccuScore expert picks.
New Orleans/Tampa Bay OVER 43.5 Points
This is a game that involves teams that have not been themselves this season. New Orleans is yet to regain their 2009 winning ways and Tampa Bay has been stockpiling some unexpected wins. The bet in this game is the over and the probability of that happening is 59%. AccuScore is 4-1 with totals in games involving the Saints and 3-1 in totals in games involving the Bucs. The 77.7% combined accuracy demands your attention. Totals continue to be AccuScore’s hottest betting system posting 56.7% accuracy in totals season to date.
Chicago/Seattle UNDER 37.5 Points
Even with a low number, we are taking the under in this game. The Seahawks have a terrible offense and the Bears have a solid defense. On the flip side, the Bears offense tallies a lot of negative plays and really struggled their last two games. The bet in this game is the under. AccuScore is 4-1 with totals in games involving the Bears and 1-1-2 in totals in games involving the Seahawks. This season, in games when the total number is 37.5 points or lower, AccuScore is 9-4.
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Miami Dolphins +3.5 at Green Bay Packers
The Packers are riddled with injuries. Clay Mathews and Jermichael Finley are now out with mark Tauscher being doubtful once again. The loss of Mathews, and the lack of depth throughout the defense could limit how aggressive defensive coordinator Dom Capers can be attacking Chad Henne. If Green Bay gets only zero or one sack, the forecast changes to a virtual coin flip with the Packers winning only 50.3 percent of simulations by an average of a point. Mathews leads the NFL in sacks so his absence is definitely a boon for Henne and the Miami passing game. Green Bay also obviously still has problems running the ball, and if Brandon Jackson rushes for fewer than 50 yards and can’t find the end zone the Dolphins actually become a 3 point favorite, and win outright 60.6 percent of the time.
Pittsburgh Steelers -13.5 vs. Cleveland Browns
This line is the biggest on the board this week, but quite frankly it’s not big enough especially considering it is still less than two full touchdowns. Rookie Colt McCoy is getting thrown to the wolves this week against the 4th ranked Pittsburgh defense. On top of that, running back Peyton Hillis is banged up and questionable with a thigh injury. AccuScore is 4-1 combined ATS in games involving the Steelers and Browns. In addition, Pittsburgh is 3-1 ATS while Cleveland is just 2-3. The Steelers have been underrated all year because of the Roethliesberger suspension. Big Ben is now back so the offense can be opened up. Everything is stacked against McCoy succeeding this week.