MLB

2011 MLB Power Rankings: Indians, Braves, Cardinals on Top

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TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are published each Monday throughout the MLB season with the 30 MLB teams ranked by Net Runs. At first glance this metric (Runs Scored – Runs Against = Net Runs) may appear somewhat primitive, however, when taken into account along with other relevant factors such as current day’s starting pitchers, injuries and availability of players, weather etc., TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings are a helpful tool in gauging probability for those who wager on MLB games (not that any of us do that.) 

At the beginning of the season, anomalies can occur in these rankings as there is simply not enough data for the math to be meaningful or valid. Over time, however, the numbers will speak for themselves and you will find that most, if not all, of the teams at the very top of the rankings will be in the postseason.

From a wagering standpoint, you will find that teams at the very top and at the very bottom of these rankings often tend to play games that are “actionable” both on the long and short side.

A few observations:

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  • The Cleveland Indians are defying the experts odds and remain atop our MLB Power Rankings. Entering the week they have the best record in the American League (24-13 / .649) and are tied for the most Net Runs in MLB with the Atlanta Braves at +41.
  • For the second week in a row, three teams in the NL East (Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies, and Florida Marlins) are among the top eight teams in MLB.
  • Last week the Detroit Tigers jumped 10 spots from #25 to #15 going 5-1 with +16 runs on the week. This week the Tigers were a + 20. Now winners of 9 out of 10, Detroit has moved up smartly once again.
  • The Minnesota Twins continue remain this seasons biggest disappointment / surprise.  The Twins went winless on the week as the majority of the All-Stars on their roster continue to resemble a M*A*S*H unit. They have the lowest win total in baseball by a long shot (12) and after just 38 games, have given up an astounding 90 more runs then they have scored. Through the first few weeks our mantra has been, “Keep an eye on the health of this team for some wagering opportunities on the long side as you can expect a rise from the basement commensurate with the health of their star players.” The Twins are now dangerously close to being placed on our “Done” list before the calendar flips to June.

TheXLog.com MLB Power Rankings – Week 7

TEAM
WINS
LOSSES
WIN %
R S
R A
Net Runs

1.5 – Indians
24
13
.649
181
140
+41

1.5 – Braves
23
19
.548
177
136
+41

3 – Cardinals
22
19
.537
217
177
+40

4 – Phillies
25
14
.641
166
129
+37

5 – Reds
23
17
.575
211
176
+35

6 – Rays
23
17
.575
172
144
+28

7 – Yankees
20
18
.526
190
166
+24

8 – Marlins
23
16
.590
172
156
+16

9 – Rangers
21
19
.525
188
173
+15

10.5 – Tigers
22
18
.555
187
173
14

10.5 – Angels
22
19
.537
167
153
+14

12 – Royals
20
19
.513
187
174
+13

13 – Blue Jays
20
20
.500
185
174
+11

14 – Rockies
20
18
.526
170
163
+7

15 – Athletics
20
20
.500
141
136
+5

16 – Giants
22
17
.564
135
137
-2

17 – Mets
19
21
.475
173
177
-4

18.5 – Red Sox
20
20
.500
173
179
-6

18.5 – Brewers
19
21
.475
169
175
-6

20 – Diamondbacks
17
22
.436
167
174
-7

21 – Padres
17
23
.425
151
163
-12

22 – Nationals
19
21
.475
153
166
-13

23 – Orioles
19
20
.487
156
176
-20

24 – White Sox
17
24
.415
160
182
-22

25 – Mariners
16
23
.410
138
165
-27

26.5 – Cubs
17
21
.447
154
183
-29

26.5 – Dodgers
19
22
.463
145
174
-29

28 – Pirates
18
22
.450
145
175
-30

29 – Astros
15
25
.375
169
213
-44

30 – Twins
12
26
.316
119
209
-90

* Please note that these rankings are an analysis of past games played and not a predictor of future events. Those who wish to wager based solely on this information do so at their own risk and understand that no specific wagering advice is being provided here.