Health

GOP Healthcare Bill Would Favor Clinton Voters

| by Robert Fowler

An analysis of the American Health Care Act has found that the GOP proposal to replace the Affordable Care Act, commonly called "Obamacare," would provide three times the tax cuts to counties that had supported former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton than those that had voted for President Donald Trump.

On March 14, an analysis conducted by Bloomberg found that counties that had backed Clinton during the 2016 election would receive annual tax cuts amounting to $21.9 billion, while counties that had swung for Trump would only receive a windfall of $6.6 billion, based on data from the Internal Revenue Service.

The AHCA calls for the removal of both the 0.9 Medicare tax and the 3.8 percent capital gains tax attached to the ACA. Removing these two taxes would save Americans $275 billion over a decade, but would largely go to individuals who make over $200,000 per year and married households that make over $250,000 per year.

The congressional Joint Committee on Taxation found that 60 percent of the $275 billion would go to those who make over $1 million per year, Reuters reports.

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On March 10, an analysis conducted by the Upshot also found that the tax credits provided by the AHCA would disproportionately favor voters for Clinton over those who cast a ballot for Trump, based on data provided by the Kaiser Family Foundation.

The Upshot found that the group of voters whose tax credits under the AHCA would be $7,500 less than their current subsidies under the ACA had favored Trump over Clinton by a margin of 58 to 39 percent, The New York Times reports.

Meanwhile, the voters who stand to gain more than $2,500 in subsidies under the AHCA had favored Clinton over Trump by a margin of 47 to 46 percent.

The Upshot analysis does not include taxpayers who receive Medicare or Medicaid benefits, but data indicates that Medicaid recipients had favored Clinton over Trump by a margin of 55 to 39 percent.

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On March 13, the Congressional Budget Office released an estimate that 14 million Americans would lose their health insurance benefits by 2018 if the ACA is replaced by the AHCA. By 2026, that number is estimated to grow to 24 million, Business Insider reports.

Meanwhile, the federal deficit would shrink by $337 billion over the next decade.

On March 14, White House press secretary Sean Spicer told reporters that Trump supports that AHCA and will encourage GOP lawmakers to pass it.

"The president is proud of it... He's proud of the impact that it's going to have on American patients," Spicer said, according to CNN.

Spicer added that if lawmakers propose ways to improve the bill, "We'll do it."

Sources: Bloomberg, Business InsiderCNN via YoutubeThe New York Times, Reuters / Photo Credit: Gage Skidmore/Flickr

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