Jets

What is Darrelle Revis' Value to the New York Jets?

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How much is Darrelle Revis worth to the Jets? To find out, AccuScore simulated New York's season 10,000 times with and without the star cornberback suiting up for Gang Green.

NEW YORK JETS    
WIN   
LOSS  
DIV       
PLAYOFF  
PA

With Revis
8.8
7.2
36.0%
51.5%
16.7

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Without Revis
8.1
7.9
26.2%
37.8%
18.0

IMPACT
-0.7
0.7
-9.8%
-13.7%
1.3

Obviously losing one of the best defensive players in the NFL would negatively impact any team. For a team like the Jets that considers itself a Super Bowl contender, his loss is huge. Without Revis they 0.7 fewer games, allow 1.3 more points per game, and are nearly 14% less likely to reach the playoffs.

WITH REVIS
WIN  
LOSS  
DIV        
PLAYOFF

New England Patriots
9.1
6.9
43.2%
56.7%

New York Jets
8.8
7.2
36.0%
51.5%

Miami Dolphins
7.6
8.4
16.5%
26.0%

Buffalo Bills
6.1
9.9
4.3%
7.7%

WITHOUT REVIS
WIN
LOSS
DIV
PLAYOFF

New England Patriots
9.1
6.9
49.3%
60.3%

New York Jets
8.1
7.9
26.2%
37.8%

Miami Dolphins
7.6
8.4
19.0%
28.7%

Buffalo Bills
6.1
9.9
5.5%
9.0%

Losing Revis negatively impacts New York, and in turn positively impacts the rest of the AFC East. The Patriots odds of winning the division rise 6.1% while the gap between New York and Miami in the playoff race closes considerably.

NEW YORK JETS   
WITH REVIS   
WITHOUT  
DIFFERENCE

Baltimore
50.0%
43.7%
-6.3%

New England
50.7%
48.2%
-2.5%

@ Miami
45.1%
41.5%
-3.6%

@ Buffalo
60.1%
57.0%
-3.1%

Minnesota
42.2%
36.9%
-5.3%

@ Denver
58.9%
56.9%
-2.0%

Green Bay
57.3%
50.2%
-7.1%

@ Detroit
67.3%
64.8%
-2.5%

@ Cleveland
66.2%
61.3%
-4.9%

Houston
66.3%
62.8%
-3.5%

Cincinnati
50.2%
46.8%
-3.4%

@ New England
39.0%
32.7%
-6.3%

Miami
63.6%
59.1%
-4.5%

@ Pittsburgh
37.4%
31.3%
-6.1%

@ Chicago
56.3%
48.3%
-8.0%

Buffalo
68.3%
70.2%
+1.9%

TOTAL WINS
8.8
8.1
0.7

Looking at the game by game schedule, Revis makes the biggest difference against Baltimore, Green Bay, at New England, at Pittsburgh, and at Chicago. His absence also makes the Jets under 50% to win the first two games meaning a potential 2-0 start could flip to 0-2.

If the Jets were to win every game it is favored in by AccuScore with Revis their record would be a sparkling 11-4-1. Taking that same tact without Revis leaves them just 8-8 and out of the postseason. Needless to say, the Jets need to get their star player in camp and on the field.