Mavericks

NBA: Caron Butler Injury Impact

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Dallas swingman Caron Butler underwent surgery to repair a torn tendon in his right knee and will miss the rest of the season.  The Mavs appear to have the depth to cover the loss with more minutes for J.J. Barea, Shawn Marion, DeShawn Stevenson, and perhaps rookie Dominique Jones.

Mavericks
WINS
DIVISION
PLAYOFFS
SEED

w/Butler
56.7
34.8%
99.5%
2nd

Out for season
56.3
23.2%
99.4%
2nd

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Impact

-0.4
-11.6%
-0.1%
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The simulations show that without Butler, Dallas is just 0.4 wins worse for the season. They also show the playoff odds and seeding unaffected for the Mavs.  The biggest difference is in the odds for the Southwest division.  Dallas loses nearly 12 percentage points which is due to the fact that the Spurs are now more likely to win in head-to-head match-ups and already hold a 4 game lead.