Why Oil Still Has a Future

By National Center for Policy Analysis , Seeking Private Sector Solutions - September 02, 2009

Icoemail3
Comments(10) | (0)

Oil is the single most important source of energy in the world, providing 40 percent of the world's total. However, even as demand increases in developing countries, oil's position in the global economy is being questioned and challenged as never before, says Daniel Yergin, chairman of IHS Cambridge Energy Research Association.

Price volatility is one factor fueling the energy debate. Another is climate change. But even though several developed countries aim to reduce oil consumption, oil's major role in the global economy is likely to be perpetuated by the globalization of demand.

-- No longer are the growth markets for petroleum to be found in North America, Western Europe and Japan.
-- The demand growth has now shifted, massively, to the fast-growing emerging markets of China, India and the Middle East.
-- Between 2000 and 2007, 85 percent of the growth in world oil demand was in the developing world.


Accordingly, when economic recovery takes hold, what happens in emerging countries will be the defining factor in the path for overall consumption. Yergin's firm, IHS Cambridge Energy Research Association, projects: With aggressive sales volumes and no major bumps in the road (unusual for new technologies), plug-in hybrids and pure electric vehicles could constitute 25 percent of new car sales by 2030.

But because of the slow turn-over of the overall fleet, gasoline consumption would be reduced only modestly below what it would otherwise be. Thereafter, of course, the impact could grow, perhaps very substantially.

For the next 20 years at least, the unfolding economic saga in emerging markets will continue to make oil a global growth business. Demand in the developing world trumps new technology, says Yergin.

Source: Daniel Yergin, "Why Oil Still Has a Future," Wall Street Journal, August 31, 2009. Click here For text
This content is inappropriate
Loading

Please select the category that most closely reflects your concern about this content, so that we can review it and determine whether it violates Civility 101 or isn't appropriate for some other reason.
Abusing this feature is also a violation of Civility 101.

Explanation:


Regarding Article
OPINION: Why Oil Still Has a Future

Thank You for your Comment

We review all comments before they're posted. For more on our comment policy, please see our FAQ.

  • Aaron
    Time for change...

    Browse: HHO-gas for vehicles,
    HHO-gas generators for vehicles,
    Flex-fuel for vehicles,
    Best cellulosic biomass for ethanol,
    Green algae for vehicles,
    Battery Electric Vehicles,
    Battery Electric Vehicles for highway use,
    Deep-cycle batteries for Electric Vehicles.
    Everyone who drives less than 30 miles a day
    obtains and maintains a BEV...Everyone else
    uses ethanol or bio-diesel type fuels--or Com-
    pressed Natural Gass, or Propane...Need for
    'ferrin' oil drops dramatically...Indian and
    Chinese folk take notice and build vehicles for electricity or bio-sources from the start.
    Remaining oil is used as lubricants, mostly...
    ALL fuelled vehicles [ethanol, diesel, CNG/
    LPG-propane] are equipped with HHO-gas genera-
    tors and are re-tuned to get 30-100% better
    mileage!..Yes, oil still has a future--for ap-
    plications which cannot be totally-replaced--
    and lubrication...Aaron Allen..PS/Pls clickit:
    www.electric-cars-for-girls.com [entire site]
    http://water4gas.com/2books.htm?hop=zandyne
    www.hho-generators.net
    for a 'starter' [no pun intended]...Aaron...

    - AaronUS September 5, 2009 1:08PM

    Reply to this Recommend (0) Icon flag

    Thank You for your Comment

    We review all comments before they're posted. For more on our comment policy, please see our FAQ.

    • countryboy
      Gas

      Thats a change we should look at.Natural gas.Propane would cost more wont it?

      - countryboyUS September 5, 2009 5:31PM

      Reply to this Recommend (0) Icon flag

      Thank You for your Comment

      We review all comments before they're posted. For more on our comment policy, please see our FAQ.

      • Aaron
        Yes but not much in 'propane country'...

        Hi Country: Propane may cost a bit more than
        regular gasoline in some places but with HHO-
        added [reducing the propane in-flow, it may be
        a real bargan in 'propane country'--parts of US
        and Canada where lots of propane is used for
        heating, cooking , farm equipment, etc. People
        who belong to co-operatives that sell propane
        can obtain it at very reasonable cost which
        doesn't go up/dn as much at the pump...Pls do
        browse and click all of the references in my
        previous msg: Tying a few or several of these
        ideas together can yield a steady, economical
        energy source for vehicles and heating: In the
        same family, there may be a CNG or LPG unit,
        an ethanol or biodiesel one and a BEV [electric
        car or pickup]. There might be an Insight [en-
        gine runs all the time] for long-commutes and
        a Prius [local, short-commuting, errand-running
        etc.] Adding HHO to natural gas, propane, or
        #2 heating oil sure takes a nip out of winter!
        Aaron Allen...

        - AaronUS September 6, 2009 12:31AM

        Reply to this Recommend (0) Icon flag

        Thank You for your Comment

        We review all comments before they're posted. For more on our comment policy, please see our FAQ.

        • countryboy
          Give it a try

          I would give it a try.Back in the 1970's lots of people ran there car on natural gas.

          - countryboyUS September 6, 2009 7:55AM

          Reply to this Recommend (0) Icon flag

          Thank You for your Comment

          We review all comments before they're posted. For more on our comment policy, please see our FAQ.

          • Aaron
            Pls lookit these...

            Hi Country [and any other interested drivers]:
            Pls browse these and lookit all links therein..
            1. compressed natural gas vehicles...
            2. Pickens Plan...
            3. www.greencar.com/articles/can-convert-natur
            al-gas.php
            Check your area or highways you drive for avail
            ability of CNG [and LPG--propane--], too...Find
            out if and how you cud add an HHO-gas generator
            to save both the CNG/LPG and the backup gasoli-
            ne, ethanol, or biodiesel...Aaron...

            - AaronUS September 6, 2009 12:42PM

            Reply to this Recommend (0) Icon flag

            Thank You for your Comment

            We review all comments before they're posted. For more on our comment policy, please see our FAQ.

            • countryboy
              Info

              Thanks for the info.Do you know of any conversion kits form gas to natural gas for cars ?

              - countryboyUS September 6, 2009 3:17PM

              Reply to this Recommend (0) Icon flag

              Thank You for your Comment

              We review all comments before they're posted. For more on our comment policy, please see our FAQ.

              • Aaron
                Best references I can find...

                Hi Country: Because of potential hazard if done
                unsafely, EPA/DOT frown on DIY kits but there
                are some which competent shops can install. Pls
                pull up and check all links/URLs on:
                www.bing.com/search?q=cng +conversion+kits+for+
                cars &FORM=MSNH11&qs=AS
                There is a good Wikipedia article there also.
                Honda makes a CNG car currently and there are
                several small pickups,vans,and a few Ford Crown
                Vics [former P71 police cars that were NOT used by cops but agencies like 'airport authorities' which have low mileage and nice
                condition [look thru Ebay and other sources]...
                Aaron...

                - AaronUS September 6, 2009 4:17PM

                Reply to this Recommend (0) Icon flag

                Thank You for your Comment

                We review all comments before they're posted. For more on our comment policy, please see our FAQ.

Even a three year old can grasp the beauty of nature and understand the ramifications of pollution and global warming.

-- Blog on Smog

See Related...