Does My Vote Matter?

Does My Vote Matter?

According to International IDEA, the United States has almost the lowest voter turnout in the world, ranked a measly 140 out of 163. Perhaps Americans are apathetic, or maybe they’re just concerned their vote is meaningless in the face of America's massive political machine. Can my vote really change the course of politics, or am I just a grain of sand on the massive beach of democracy?

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Art Carden

Electoral College: Your Vote Matters Less in Presidential Elections

Art Carden

Economics Professor, Rhodes College

I live in Tennessee, which would likely be a Republican lock no matter who the candidates were. Indeed, the prediction markets at www.intrade.com are predicting that a Republican victory in Tennessee is virtually a sure thing. The prediction markets predict that an Obama victory in California is also virtually a sure thing. An article in the August 21, 2008 Wall Street Journal said that in national polls the race is now a statistical dead heat. This is interesting information, but in terms of how I vote in November it isn't particularly useful. In the absence of major unforeseen circumstances, McCain will win Tennessee no matter how I vote or whether I vote at all.

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